Wednesday, Dec 04th

pillsHere is a monthly conversation starter from the Scarsdale Taskforce on Drugs and Alcohol. Ask Your Kids: Do you know what anabolic-androgenic steroids are and why these drugs are dangerous? Answer: Steroids are used to build muscle but they are illegal when used without a prescription from a doctor. Some teens abuse steroids not knowing that there are very dangerous side-effects such as prematurely stunting growth, accelerated puberty changes and abnormal sexual development. Adolescent girls in particular may suffer from severe acne, excessive body and facial hair, deepened voice, disruption of the menstrual cycle, and permanent infertility.

The Scarsdale Task Force on Drugs and Alcohol is a community action group made up of concerned individuals, representatives of the schools, the Village, local, social and civic organizations and religious institutions. The Task Force educates youth and adults about drugs and alcohol, helps people develop drug-free attitudes and habits, and recommends resources to those whose lives are affected by drugs and alcohol dependency. Learn more at: http://www.scarsdaleschools.org/DATF

 

 

oldedgemontTo Supervisor Paul Feiner and the Town Board of Greenburgh; I’m writing this open letter on behalf of the Edgemont Community Council. We wish to express our disappointment at the town board’s recent passing of the 2011 budget. The new budget calls for a 7% increase in overall spending, funded by drawing down on the fund balance, borrowing, and tax increases — 4.5% for unincorporated, which includes an almost incredible 87% increase for the town entire.

Our new governor, Andrew Cuomo, has made it clear that he plans to implement an austerity budget in Albany and is proposing a 2% cap on property taxes. Early indications are that the legislature will support him.

But in the Town of Greenburgh, austerity is a foreign concept:

  • The Edgemont Community Council made numerous suggestions for cuts in the budget; almost all were ignored.
  • There was no set-aside to pay for damages in the Fortress Bible lawsuit, creating a potential, gigantic hole in the 2011 budget. There was also no set-aside for the cost of revaluation or the millions of dollars needed to remediate the pools at Veteran Park .
  • Instead, you voted to draw down fund balance to reduce a substantial double-digit tax hike to 4.5% and thereby cynically postponed making the truly hard decisions about town spending until after this year’s town board election.
  • Borrowing will fund payments required by tax certioraris — meaning future taxpayers will have to pay off current operating expenses, a very poor way to manage the budget.
  • And the impending 2% cap was ignored.

Both the Edgemont School District and Greenville Fire District have managed to keep tax increases very close to the 2% level in recent years; both districts should be able to manage if the tax cap is passed. Even Westchester County , with strong bipartisan support, not only met the 2% cap, it actually managed to cut property taxes for 2011.

But even though every other taxing district in the state of New York seems to have answered the clarion call this year to reduce spending and keep property tax hikes below 2%, the Town of Greenburgh has not.

Although the town budget has already been passed, the Edgemont Community Council therefore urges the town board to reconsider its spending to meet the 2% tax cap for 2011. Given the state of the economy, it’s the prudent thing to do even if the cap never becomes law. And under no circumstances should the town meet a 2% tax cap by borrowing money to meet operating expenses. That idea was even rejected last month at the county level. That kind of irresponsible financial gimmickry fools nobody.

We note with great dismay that, at a time of financial extremis and when other municipal authorities nationwide are undertaking to rein in spending, when stripped of this year’s one-shot gimmicks, the Town's budget (and tax-burden) continues to grow at an effective rate of over 15%.

This is an extravagance that residents cannot afford. Town officials should be focused instead on reducing spending to manageable and sustainable levels — not on justifying higher taxes while also drawing down on reserve fund balances and pursuing unprecedented borrowing to fund tax certioraris and other known, current expenses.

The need for the Town of Greenburgh to start holding the line on spending has become all the more important given Governor Cuomo's goal of imposing a 2% cap on property tax increases. The Governor's goal is laudable and, whether or not enacted into law, the Town should undertake to live within its means — and the means of its residents.

Geoff Loftus
Member of the Board of Directors
Edgemont Community Council


 

letterDear Scarsdale 10583: The Scarsdale Community Center's ("SCC") proposal for an indoor pool and the Village of Scarsdale to provide a $16 million bond is a potential financial disaster that the Village of Scarsdale should avoid. Approval of the SCC's proposal and $16 million bond is an asymmetrical risk that financially binds the entire Scarsdale community for the benefit a minority interest group that desires a luxury indoor pool. The SCC co-president Ed Morgan said it best, "We're asking the whole village to assume the financial responsibilities of this project, whether they will use it or not." Additionally, a decision of this magnitude that gravely affects the entire Scarsdale community should be done by public referendum and only after thorough due diligence at the expense of the SCC, not the Scarsdale's tax payers.

It is bewildering why the SCC believes an indoor pool and fitness center is necessary in a six square mile town when there are so many gyms and fitness clubs (JCCs, YMCAs, Equinox, NY Sports) in each of our surrounding communities which would become direct competition to the SCC facility. Also, many Scarsdale residents have home gyms or use fitness centers near their work.

Since Scarsdale is now contemplating going into fitness center business with the SCC, we need to ensure the accuracy of SCC's projections and their ability to construct and successfully operate the proposed Scarsdale Community Center. The financial consequences on our community are critical and long lasting. The SCC projections and assumptions should be evaluated and validated by an expert before any approval by the Village of Scarsdale. If the SCC projections are flawed, it will be Scarsdale and all of its citizens funding the ongoing operating losses and capital requirements at the SCC indoor pool facility which will be in addition to the ~$1.2 million annual projected bond debt service. Similar to business applying for a business loan, the SCC's projections need to be questioned and tested for realism and a downside scenario to see if the SCC can operate profitably and generate sufficient cash flows to fund the operations of the indoor pool facility and service the debt Village of Scarsdale is asked to assume.

The SCC's projections assumptions are highly optimistic with regard to membership, revenues and profitability levels. The SCC projections assume 1,600 founding members, or a 48% membership increase over the 1,080 remaining active members of the SCC. These 1,600 members (75% of the indoor pool's total projected membership) are projected to remain members of the SCC indoor pool throughout the five year projected period. Is this a realistic assumption given the SCC has already lost 10% of their original 1,200 founding members and these remaining families have yet to pay the $1,219 annual dues. This membership retention assumption is also flawed by the fact that families move away from Scarsdale and membership decisions change as children grow older, children move away or as interests change. New membership is projected to grow from zero to 394 by year five with net membership increasing in all five years. Within the health club industry other firms experience a high level of membership loss. For example, Lifetime Fitness ("LTM") and Town Sports ("CLUB"), the operator of NY Sports Clubs, experience approximately a 40% membership loss per annum.

The SCC projections also assume a level of operating profitability well in excess of both Lifetime Fitness and Town Sports. Is it reasonable that the SCC can achieve a level of profitability well in excess of for profit sports clubs and sports club management? The SCC projections assumes an average cash operating profitability (before interest and rent expense) of 58% of revenues compared to 30-35% for Town Sports and Lifetime Fitness. Assuming a 45% level of operating profitability at the SCC ( ~50% higher than the public companies), the SCC's annual cash flow is negatively until year four.

While I am not in support of moving forward with an indoor pool and fitness complex and believe that any approval should be subject to a public referendum, the Mayor and Trustees should not lose sight of the fact Scarsdale owns the intended land for the complex and controls the credit rating that the SCC wants to support the project. As such, if the Village of Scarsdale decides to move forward with the SCC on the indoor pool facility, the Village of Scarsdale should negotiate a better deal than the one on the table with the SCC. Scarsdale should require the SCC to raise a greater amount of funds from its membership. Additionally, will the SCC founding membership stand up and be accountable for their projections by having the founding members commit in writing to maintain their SCC memberships until the SCC achieves a projected positive cash flow of $830,000 after debt service and 10% contingency expenses as projected in year five? If not, then how can we be comfortable that the SCC projections are accurate? Scarsdale should not sign up to a financial transaction where heads the SCC wins and tails the entire community loses

Michael Goldberg
26 Broadmoor Road

 

moneyTo Scarsdale10583: These are comments I made at the December 14 Board of Trustees meeting based on a more detailed letter I had previously sent the Clerk and Mayor for the public record.

There is a saying on Wall Street that when things are priced for perfection that the situation is ripe for financial catastrophe. In January of 2000 tech stocks were priced for perfection, in the first quarter of 2008 credit was priced for perfection. As soon as something started to go wrong in both these cases financial decimation occurred. These are just two recent examples of this principle, the consequences of the latter we will continue to live with for many years.

It is time we all started looking at the SCC’s financial plan critically and objectively. Importantly, each of you as individuals needs to conduct this work. Not spend taxpayer money to outsource it to a consultant who can be blamed down the road when something goes wrong.

I have started that review process myself and here are just a few of my early observations:

Forecast SCC revenues do not resemble the start up curve for any business I have seen in my over 25 years as a business and Wall Street professional. No business goes to 100% revenue on day one. If the SCC misses their revenue projections they cannot cover their costs or service the debt.

In my opinion they make the bold assumption that charter members will rewrite a contract and voluntarily raise the fee they pay in years 1 – 3 by 70%. If this circa $500,000 per year in revenue doesn’t materialize the SCC will lose money and not be able to service the debt.

A full 41% of forecast revenues go to debt service. Let me repeat that. 41% of revenues go to pay the debt service. This is really the only number you need to know. The debt service coverage ratio is 1.2 times. No private business could borrow at this leverage level. They require the Village debt guarantee as lenders have learned, many times quite painfully, that this is too much debt. If our society learned any lesson in the last three painful years it is that financial leverage kills. This is extreme financial leverage.

If nothing else I said puts the financial risk that would be imposed on the taxpayers into stark contract the comparison of the SCC to the Greenwich Y will. It is a similarly affluent community, though over three times the size of Scarsdale. In 2009 they launched a $25 million above ground pool project very similar in scope and dollar magnitude to the SCC. Except they already had in place $3.24 million a year in like-kind revenues and an established donor base for contributions. It didn’t turn out too well. They ran out of money and had to halt construction. They are saddled with $17 million in debt that they are working with their lenders to restructure. In a GO bond there is no restructuring. The taxpayers pay.

To summarize: Y and SCC are both $25 Mn projects. Debt level is $17 mn for the Y and $16 mn proposed for the SCC. Revenues for the Y on an apples to apples basis are 25% higher for the Y than the SCC. The Y failed on their debt. How can the SCC expect to service the same level of debt with 25% less revenue without recourse to the taxpayers?

The reality is that the SCC’s financial plan is “priced for perfection” as currently presented. It will go wrong. There is no cushion or protection for taxpayers and we will end up paying for it.

Other financial professionals in our community are also writing letters regarding the financial risks posed to the Village’s borrowing costs, AAA rating, tax base, etc. These letters speak for themselves and only add to the case I am presenting here tonight. I urge you to read them thoughtfully.

It is pretty simple, actions speak louder than words. If this really is self financially supported why do they need the Village’s balance sheet. The answer is obvious. In reality it isn’t self-supporting. They need the Village to pay in order to build it.

Now more than ever is not the time for a leap of financial faith that benefits a minority in the community but is underwritten and paid for by all taxpayers.

Once again, I call on the Trustees to conclusively and irrevocably fulfill your fiduciary responsibility to the community’s taxpayers and enact a resolution that if ever built the SCC must be 100% self financed with exactly zero debt support from the taxpayers. This is long overdue.

Truly yours,
Michael Weinstein
Butler Road

 

 

scc2.jpgDear Scarsdale10583: I think the citizens of Scarsdale should wake up and see this proposal for what it is: a small group of well organized, very vocal individuals who are orchestrating a staged and well planned campaign to build a private club backed by the full faith and credit of the Village of Scarsdale. They want to build this facility on Village owned property and sustain its operation by ongoing revenue which may never materialize. The taxpayers of this community may be forced to bear the burden of maintaining the facility and possibly face the ruination of a fantastic asset of Scarsdale already in operation, namely the outdoor pool and its environs. The Mayor has stated the belief of the Board of Trustees of Scarsdale that “we don’t want residents who don’t use it to pay for it” and I am quite fearful that is exactly what will happen.

The cost of this proposed facility is $24 million, $8 million from private donations and $16 million by general obligation of the Village of Scarsdale. In addition to that amount being completely obscene for the village to even consider spending in the current economic climate, the SCC co-president himself stated, “We are asking the whole village to assume the financial responsibility for this project.” It is time for the great silent majority, the taxpayers of the Village of Scarsdale to speak up with a unified voice and tell them “NO!” The few spearheading the SCC have been trying to get this project built for years and they will not go away until we finally put this issue to rest for good. Stop spending our money. Stop ruining our open spaces. Stop adding to the debt of this Village. What part of NO don’t they understand?

Jimmy Fink